Thursday, May 8, 2008

Going Over the Top in Oregon?

Oregon supporters of Barack Obama are hoping Hillary Clinton will drop out of the race - but not until after May 20.

Posted By on Thu, May 8, 2008 at 3:24 PM

Oregon supporters of Barack Obama are hoping Hillary Clinton will drop out of the race - but not until after May 20.

That's the date when the results of Oregon's vote-by-mail primary will be announced. And Obama's supporters are speculating that the state's 52 delegates might push their guy over the top to capture the Democratic presidential nomination.

Here's the math: Obama needs 2,025 delegate votes to be nominated. After winning big in North Carolina and losing a squeaker in Indiana on Tuesday he now has 1,851, according to the New York Times count. (Clinton has 1,688.) Only six primaries remain, with a total of 217 votes at stake.

The West Virginia primary comes on May 13, with 28 delegates to be won. But Clinton is the heavy favorite to capture most of those. Ditto for Kentucky's 51 delegates, to be awarded in that state's May 20 primary.

So depending on how well or poorly Obama does in West Virginia and Kentucky, and on how many of the approximately 200 still uncommitted superdelegates break his way between now and May 20, Oregon could give the Illinois senator the votes he needs to become the first African-American presidential nominee of a major party.

"If Clinton were to drop out this week," the Daily Kos blog wrote after Tuesday's primaries, "we'd face an uncomfortable situation in West Virginia, with Clinton likely crushing Obama. That would look terrible for the presumptive nominee.

"Better than that would be to garner enough superdelegate commitments this week, so that Oregon can push Obama past 2,024. That way, it isn't the supers who clinch it for Obama, but actual voters."

And actual Oregon voters, at that.

  • Pin It

Comments (3)

Showing 1-3 of 3

Add a comment

Subscribe to this thread:
Showing 1-3 of 3

Add a comment

More by H. Bruce Miller

  • Who is John Galt? Who Gives a Crap?: Atlas Shrugged's tea party flops hard

    Members of the Ayn Rand cult have waited 54 years for a movie version of her magnum opus, Atlas Shrugged. They finally have one that's true to the letter and spirit of the book. And that's the problem.
    • May 11, 2011
  • LandWatch Goes to the Mattresses Over Resorts

    The fight over Deschutes County's new destination resort rules isn't finished yet: Central Oregon LandWatch has put the county on notice that it plans to challenge them. LandWatch filed ìnotices of intent to appealî Thursday with the state Land Use Board of Appeals, charging that the county's new rules for determining what lands are eligible for resorts ìactually increase the development potential in the county.
    • Aug 23, 2010
  • Waste and Fraud: Walden Goes After the Big Game

    Eastern Oregon's own Rep. Greg Walden and a couple of other Republican congressmen have unleashed their righteous wrath on a federal program that helps low-income folks heat their homes.
    • Jul 2, 2010
  • More »

Latest in The Wandering Eye

  • Moonshine Magic in Bend Still on the Down Low

    Get ready for our great close-up on the home distilling community out next week in our "Best of" issue. We interviewed a mixed bag of legal and anarchist distillers in Bend to find out why distilling is so very, very against the law in one's home.
    • Aug 9, 2012
  • The Eye Wanders Off Into the Sunset

    I’m really sorry to break the bad news to them during this season of peace and goodwill, but after this week the right-wingers in Bend and vicinity won’t have The Wandering Eye to kick around anymore. The decision to stop writing this blog was my own, and it was prompted by several factors.
    • Dec 26, 2010
  • DADT, Gay-Bashing and the "Icky-ness" Factor

    For the past week or so, “Zeo” of the NW Republican blog has had his jock strap in a knot over the prospect of Congress repealing the military’s “Don’t Ask Don’t Tell” rule. To hear Zeo tell it, if DADT is repealed and gays are allowed to serve openly in the US military it will mean the end not only of our armed forces but of America, its economic system and civilization in general.
    • Dec 19, 2010
  • More »

© 2016 LAY IT OUT INC | 704 NW GEORGIA, BEND, OREGON 97703  |   Privacy Policy

Website powered by Foundation