Oregon Winter Forecast: Another Snowmageddon? | Local News | Bend | The Source Weekly - Bend, Oregon
Pin It

Oregon Winter Forecast: Another Snowmageddon? 

A pro's prediction of the 2019 winter forecast

Meteorologist Pete Parsons predicts the upcoming winter in Oregon

The random fall snow certainly seemed like an ominous warning regarding the winter ahead. Meteorologist Pete Parsons of the Oregon Department of Forestry weighs in on the winter forecast: Is Bend bound for another Snowmageddon?

First of all, it's important to remember that there's no definitive way of knowing what to expect – the weather is consistently unpredictable, though solid clues can be derived from past analogues.

click to enlarge Should Mt. Bachelor expect the same amount of snowfall it saw last year? - WILLIAM FRANKLE
  • William Frankle
  • Should Mt. Bachelor expect the same amount of snowfall it saw last year?

This season will be what is considered ENSO neutral, Parsons predicts, meaning that surface trade winds will blow in the direction of the Pacific Ocean, and temperatures will likely linger on the warm side of neutral (this occurs when coming out of an El Niño). Parsons draws from three separate time-frames to gain a “window into the future”, years during which the weather patterns were very similar. To gain insight into the Oregon winter of 2019, he closely examined 1968-69, 1976-77 and 1979-80. Based on his expertise and in-depth examination, here is what (he believes) the upcoming winter has in store.

November: In 1977, Portland experienced a record-breaking, late-month snowfall. The western half of the state experienced below-average rainfall and above-normal temperatures, indicating a mild month with very little snowfall.

December: Analogs suggest that past December weather was generally very mild, with periods of storminess and excessive rainfall. Again, past years show above-average temperatures throughout Western Oregon. North-Central Oregon is likely to experience to coldest weather, and there is an increased chance of flooding episodes throughout the state.

January: A variance in precipitation leads to a lack of confidence in predictions, though analogs do show above-average temperatures.

December is expected to be the stormiest of the three months, though in general, temperatures will remain warmer than usual.  If Parson'e predictions prove to be accurate, Bend is looking at a mild winter. 
Pin It


Showing 1-1 of 1

Add a comment

Subscribe to this thread:
Showing 1-1 of 1

Add a comment

Newsletter Signup

Cascades Reader Logo Cascades Reader

Get your daily dose of news for Central Oregon and beyond, delivered to your inbox five days a week. Powered by the Source Weekly.

Latest in Local News

  • Corona Cruise

    • Feb 19, 2020
    Oregon comedian finds himself onboard an un-dockable cruise ship, port countries fear coronavirus More »
  • Big Town, Small City

    • Feb 19, 2020
    The vision for the Bend Central District may get support through code changes and urban renewal revenues More »
  • The Artist Behind the Mural

    • Feb 19, 2020
    The BCD's Franklin Avenue underpass project serves as a signal of hope; a bridge between two parts of Bend More »
  • More »

More by Cayla Clark

  • Corona Cruise

    Corona Cruise

    Oregon comedian finds himself onboard an un-dockable cruise ship, port countries fear coronavirus
    • Feb 19, 2020
  • Corn Stars

    Corn Stars

    The world of professional, competitive cornhole comes to Bend
    • Feb 19, 2020
  • Black History, Via Comedy

    Black History, Via Comedy

    "Hammered Black History" focuses on the African American presence in Oregon in a tangible, relatable way
    • Feb 19, 2020
  • More »

Readers also liked…

  • Meanwhile, Back at the Ranch...

    Meanwhile, Back at the Ranch...

    It was once an over-grazed range that became the home of Rajneeshpuram. Now another type of religion occupies the space, along with ranchers committed to land restoration
    • Jul 5, 2018
  • The War Wages On

    The War Wages On

    Oregon will have 11 dedicated opioid treatment centers by 2019. Where—as a city, state and as a nation—are we in this raging opioid epidemic?
    • Jul 18, 2018

© 2020 LAY IT OUT INC | 704 NW GEORGIA AVE, BEND, OREGON 97703  |   Privacy Policy

Website powered by Foundation